A Hierarchical Approach Using Machine Learning Methods in Solar Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting

dc.contributor.authorLi, Zhaoxuan
dc.contributor.authorRahman, SM Mahbobur
dc.contributor.authorVega, Rolando
dc.contributor.authorDong, Bing
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-19T14:59:25Z
dc.date.available2021-04-19T14:59:25Z
dc.date.issued2016-01-19
dc.date.updated2021-04-19T14:59:26Z
dc.description.abstractWe evaluate and compare two common methods, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR), for predicting energy productions from a solar photovoltaic (PV) system in Florida 15 min, 1 h and 24 h ahead of time. A hierarchical approach is proposed based on the machine learning algorithms tested. The production data used in this work corresponds to 15 min averaged power measurements collected from 2014. The accuracy of the model is determined using computing error statistics such as mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), relative MBE (rMBE), mean percentage error (MPE) and relative RMSE (rRMSE). This work provides findings on how forecasts from individual inverters will improve the total solar power generation forecast of the PV system.
dc.description.departmentMechanical Engineering
dc.identifierdoi: 10.3390/en9010055
dc.identifier.citationEnergies 9 (1): 55 (2016)
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12588/357
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 United States
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectartificial neural network (ANN)
dc.subjectsupport vector regression (SVR)
dc.subjectphotovoltaic (PV) forecasting
dc.titleA Hierarchical Approach Using Machine Learning Methods in Solar Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting
dc.typeArticle

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